Forecast consortium expects stagnation of Corona case numbers

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According to the forecast consortium’s expectations, Corona infection incidence is unlikely to accelerate in the coming days. “It shows a stagnation of the reported case numbers. There are no substantial increases in any age group or state. The wastewater signal also suggests a tendency toward constant development at present,” the forecast released Wednesday said.

Weather a factor of uncertainty in Corona case numbers
The consortium points to weather as a factor of uncertainty: Changing weather conditions “could, however, lead to seasonal effects driving infection incidence in the forecast period.” Among the variants, the proportion of BQ.1, BQ.1.1, and BF.7 mutations continues to increase. However, this growth has slowed somewhat in the past week and thus is “not yet relevant” to the forecast period.

The pavement forecast assumes a slight decline in hospitalizations: For the final forecast day, Nov. 23, between 696 to a maximum of 1,137 beds should be occupied by Covid patients, according to the consortium. On Tuesday morning, 1,190 infected people were treated in domestic hospitals and 78 in intensive care units. The number of ICU patients rises to 96 in the worst-case scenario with the last forecast day on Nov. 23; the mean assumes 69 ICU patients.

  • source: kurier.at/picture: pixabay.com
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