SHOCKING CORONA PROGNOSIS: Experts expect “deadly December” with 30,000 deaths per day

The first worldwide COVID-19 forecast predicts that 1.9 million people will die of corona by the end of the year.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington School of Medicine has for the first time made a worldwide corona prognosis – the shock result: 1.9 million more people will die from the virus by January. The worst month will be December – experts expect 30,000 corona deaths per day.

“While these first global forecasts are discouraging, they also provide a signpost for the fight against COVID-19 that both governments and individuals can follow,” said IHME Director Christopher Murray. “We are facing a deadly December, especially in Europe, Central Asia and the United States.”


At the same time the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) predichts that nearly 770,000 lives worldwide could be saved between now and January 1 through proven measures such as mask-wearing and social distancing.

The new projections, including additional forecasts of daily infections, are available at, and will be regularly updated moving forward.

About the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research organization at the University of Washington School of Medicine that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world’s most important health problems and evaluates the strategies used to address them. IHME is committed to transparency and makes this information widely available so that policymakers have the evidence they need to make informed decisions on allocating resources to improve population health.

— SOURCE Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

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